? What Happens Ifsimulator

How the simulator works

Every page on this site is generated by a small set of transparent models. Here is exactly what each one does — so you can decide whether to believe the output.

The models

Money

Future value of a regular contribution, compounded monthly: FV = P × ((1 + r)ⁿ − 1) / r, where P is the monthly deposit, r the monthly rate and n the number of months. Savings default to 4.5% APR, investing to 8.0%. Figures are nominal: no inflation, no tax on interest.

Debt

A month-by-month amortisation loop. Interest is added, then the payment (minimum plus your extra) is subtracted, until the balance clears. The comparison against minimum-only payments comes from running the same loop twice.

Sleep

Debt accumulates against an 8-hour baseline, the midpoint of the 7–9 hour adult recommendation. Cumulative debt is converted into whole nights lost. Cognitive effects reference the classic dose-response restriction studies.

Fitness & nutrition

Calories per unit of activity assume an average adult of about 170 lb (77 kg) at a moderate pace. Weight change uses 3,500 kcal ≈ 1 lb of fat, with a decay factor applied over long horizons to reflect metabolic adaptation.

Learning

Daily minutes are converted to cumulative practice hours, then compared against commonly cited hour thresholds for each skill. These are rough consensus figures — practice quality moves them by a factor of two or more.

Time

Hours per day become hours per year (365 days, or 250 for commuting and work scenarios), then get translated into waking days and opportunity cost at a stated hourly rate.

What this is not

It is not medical, financial, legal or dietary advice, and it cannot account for your individual circumstances. It is a thinking tool: it makes the size of a small daily decision visible. If a simulation prompts a real decision about your health or money, take it to a professional who can see your whole situation.

Questions about the method

Does this use AI to generate the numbers?

No. Every figure comes from a deterministic formula written in the source code — compound interest, calorie balance, sleep-debt accumulation, practice-hour thresholds. The same question always returns the same answer, and the assumptions are printed on every page.

Where do the health timelines come from?

They summarise timelines that are widely published by public-health bodies and commonly reported in the research literature (for example, carbon monoxide normalising within 12 hours of the last cigarette). They describe typical patterns, not your individual case.

Why do the money numbers assume a fixed return?

Because a simulator has to assume something. Savings use a competitive high-yield rate and investing uses a long-run market average. Both are stated on the page, and at 0% return the deposit total is still shown.

Is the 3,500 calories per pound rule accurate?

It is a useful approximation that overstates long-run change, because energy expenditure adapts as body mass changes. Simulations here show the straight-line figure and an adaptation-adjusted figure side by side.

Do you store what I type?

The simulator has no database and no accounts. What you type is used to route you to a scenario page and nothing else.